The race for AI dominance is often framed as a competition between the United States and China, but BWC Vice Chair Rebecca Patterson argues the story is far more complex. In a new article for the Council on Foreign Relations, Patterson explores how AI is reshaping the global balance of power and why long-term success will depend on more than frontier models. From talent and infrastructure to supply chains and public policy, she examines the factors that will determine which countries capture AI’s economic benefits and how nations with strategic advantages in critical AI inputs could emerge as influential players in the global economy.

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